Shippers are anticipating continued volume increases, tighter capacity, and further rate increases according to a Morgan Stanley survey. (Photo: Shutterstock) Tighter capacity and more freight to move are among the highlights of the latest Morgan Stanley Freight Pulse 49 survey. Shippers, though, are retreating from their rosy view of the Morgan Stanley estimates that diesel prices could increase by 5-33%, placing increased financial strain on the smaller carriers, which make up the bulk of the TL industry. The thought is that many smaller operators have inadequate fuel surcharge programs in place to pass through the fuel cost increase to the shipper.

A Measure of North American Freight Volumes. Since 1995, the Cass Freight Index ® has been a trusted measure of North American freight volumes and expenditures. Our monthly Cass Freight Index Report provides valuable insight into freight trends as they relate to other economic and supply chain indicators and the overall economy. The index isolates the linehaul component of full truckload costs from other components (e.g. fuel and accessorials), providing an accurate reflection of trends in baseline truckload prices. Data within this unique index is derived from actual freight invoices paid on behalf of Cass’ clients. The index uses January 2005 as its base month. National Spot Rates: Van, Flatbed, Reefer Retailers rush to fill empty shelves. Mar 9 - 15 - Van rates rose nationwide, as retailers scrambled to re-stock depleted inventories.The increases were sharpest on short-haul lanes that connect regional distribution centers with consumers in large metro areas. The Morgan Stanley Truckload Freight Index (TLFI) said, “we expect TL companies to focus on potential market tightening in 2020 this earnings season given supply side rationalization catalysts on the horizon, including the Drug and Alcohol Clearinghouse and insurance rate spikes, as they continue to grapple with a currently tough operating Morgan Stanley estimates that diesel prices could increase by 5-33%, placing increased financial strain on the smaller carriers, which make up the bulk of the TL industry. The thought is that many smaller operators have inadequate fuel surcharge programs in place to pass through the fuel cost increase to the shipper. The Morgan Stanley Mobile App is currently available for iPhone® and iPad® from the App Store℠ and AndroidTM on Google Play™. Standard messaging and data rates from your provider may apply. Information related to your external accounts is provided for informational purposes only. It is provided by third parties, including the financial

Graph and download economic data for Producer Price Index by Industry: General Freight Trucking, Long-Distance Truckload (PCU484121484121) from Dec 2003 to Feb 2020 about freight, trucks, PPI, industry, inflation, price index, price, indexes, and USA.

Information Sources: Morgan Stanley, Cleveland Research, Georgia Innovation. We are constantly looking at trends and comparing them to trends from previous time periods to help us predict what will happen in the future. The following statistics look at trucking industry trends from recent months. U.S. Trucking result is we have enough TL freight in the system, but our rates are lower than planned." Exhibit 12:Straight-Line Forecast for Monthly YoY % Change in NSA Truck Tonnage Index Source: ATA, Morgan Stanley Research; Note: We have adjusted February 2012 data due to the extra workday resulting from leap year Exhibit 13:Sequential Change in NSA A Measure of North American Freight Volumes. Since 1995, the Cass Freight Index ® has been a trusted measure of North American freight volumes and expenditures. Our monthly Cass Freight Index Report provides valuable insight into freight trends as they relate to other economic and supply chain indicators and the overall economy. The index isolates the linehaul component of full truckload costs from other components (e.g. fuel and accessorials), providing an accurate reflection of trends in baseline truckload prices. Data within this unique index is derived from actual freight invoices paid on behalf of Cass’ clients. The index uses January 2005 as its base month. National Spot Rates: Van, Flatbed, Reefer Retailers rush to fill empty shelves. Mar 9 - 15 - Van rates rose nationwide, as retailers scrambled to re-stock depleted inventories.The increases were sharpest on short-haul lanes that connect regional distribution centers with consumers in large metro areas. The Morgan Stanley Truckload Freight Index (TLFI) said, “we expect TL companies to focus on potential market tightening in 2020 this earnings season given supply side rationalization catalysts on the horizon, including the Drug and Alcohol Clearinghouse and insurance rate spikes, as they continue to grapple with a currently tough operating

In the first essay, I theorize why truckload transportation carriers refuse service. ( i.e., reject Morgan Stanley sentiment index versus the spot premium index .

The Morgan Stanley Mobile App is currently available for iPhone® and iPad® from the App Store℠ and AndroidTM on Google Play™. Standard messaging and data rates from your provider may apply. Information related to your external accounts is provided for informational purposes only. It is provided by third parties, including the financial Morgan Stanley Investment Research is one of the financial industry's dominant thought leaders in equity and fixed-income investing. Our analysts, economists and strategists have earned this reputation through timely, in-depth analysis of companies, industries, markets and the world’s economies. Our teams collaborate to assist Morgan Stanley Morgan Stanley analyst trims earnings estimates across all modes of transportation. Truckload Indexes. However, more meaningful estimate reductions were made for the truckload (TL) carriers. On average, Shanker reduced estimates 15% for the fourth quarter and nearly 10% for 2020. This resulted in fewer seasonal project freight About one quarter of 350 to 400 shippers, freight brokers, and motor carriers surveyed by investment firm Morgan Stanley and Co. LLC reported an abundance of truckload capacity, the survey's highest percentage reporting such conditions since January 2013, the firm said today. Graph and download economic data for Producer Price Index by Industry: General Freight Trucking, Long-Distance Truckload (PCU484121484121) from Dec 2003 to Feb 2020 about freight, trucks, PPI, industry, inflation, price index, price, indexes, and USA.

Morgan Stanley Dry Van ONLY Truckload Freight Index. Flatbed YOY Change. Flatbed capacity is currently at lower than historical levels. Capacity peaked in 

The index isolates the linehaul component of full truckload costs from other components (e.g. fuel and accessorials), providing an accurate reflection of trends in baseline truckload prices. Data within this unique index is derived from actual freight invoices paid on behalf of Cass’ clients. The index uses January 2005 as its base month. National Spot Rates: Van, Flatbed, Reefer Retailers rush to fill empty shelves. Mar 9 - 15 - Van rates rose nationwide, as retailers scrambled to re-stock depleted inventories.The increases were sharpest on short-haul lanes that connect regional distribution centers with consumers in large metro areas. The Morgan Stanley Truckload Freight Index (TLFI) said, “we expect TL companies to focus on potential market tightening in 2020 this earnings season given supply side rationalization catalysts on the horizon, including the Drug and Alcohol Clearinghouse and insurance rate spikes, as they continue to grapple with a currently tough operating Morgan Stanley estimates that diesel prices could increase by 5-33%, placing increased financial strain on the smaller carriers, which make up the bulk of the TL industry. The thought is that many smaller operators have inadequate fuel surcharge programs in place to pass through the fuel cost increase to the shipper. The Morgan Stanley Mobile App is currently available for iPhone® and iPad® from the App Store℠ and AndroidTM on Google Play™. Standard messaging and data rates from your provider may apply. Information related to your external accounts is provided for informational purposes only. It is provided by third parties, including the financial Morgan Stanley Investment Research is one of the financial industry's dominant thought leaders in equity and fixed-income investing. Our analysts, economists and strategists have earned this reputation through timely, in-depth analysis of companies, industries, markets and the world’s economies. Our teams collaborate to assist Morgan Stanley

result is we have enough TL freight in the system, but our rates are lower than planned." Exhibit 12:Straight-Line Forecast for Monthly YoY % Change in NSA Truck Tonnage Index Source: ATA, Morgan Stanley Research; Note: We have adjusted February 2012 data due to the extra workday resulting from leap year Exhibit 13:Sequential Change in NSA

Exhibit 7:Morgan Stanley Reefer Truckload Freight Index Source: Morgan Stanley Research; *2006-2016 average trend line excludes financial crisis years of 2008 and 2009 Exhibit 8:Morgan Stanley Flatbed Truckload Freight Index Source: Morgan Stanley Research; *2006-2016 average trend line excludes financial crisis years of 2008 and 2009 4 Shippers are anticipating continued volume increases, tighter capacity, and further rate increases according to a Morgan Stanley survey. (Photo: Shutterstock) Tighter capacity and more freight to move are among the highlights of the latest Morgan Stanley Freight Pulse 49 survey. Shippers, though, are retreating from their rosy view of the

Morgan Stanley Investment Research is one of the financial industry's dominant thought leaders in equity and fixed-income investing. Our analysts, economists and strategists have earned this reputation through timely, in-depth analysis of companies, industries, markets and the world’s economies. Our teams collaborate to assist Morgan Stanley Morgan Stanley analyst trims earnings estimates across all modes of transportation. Truckload Indexes. However, more meaningful estimate reductions were made for the truckload (TL) carriers. On average, Shanker reduced estimates 15% for the fourth quarter and nearly 10% for 2020. This resulted in fewer seasonal project freight

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